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Will Jeb Bush Be Able To Recover His Campaign?

With Jeb Bush finally announcing his candidacy, may wonder if his late start will be a hindrance. Will Jeb be able to recover his momentum?

63% of writers and pundits say yes
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Will Jeb Bush Be Able To Recover His Campaign?  

Writers and pundits who say or about the topic, "Will Jeb Bush Be Able To Recover His Campaign?"
last 24 hours | thedailybeast
Amnesty Hecklers Moment Will Haunt Jeb Bush on the Trail - Daily Beast

"...Jeb Bush is getting used to hecklers real quick. He was officially a presidential candidate for about 20 minutes before a coordinated heckling campaign hijacked his announcement and pushed him into unplanned territory.It felt like inverted d j vu; just a few months ago, Bush joined Sean Hannity for a Q&A session on the main stage of CPAC, and a cadre of Tea Party activists and Rand Paul supporters made a dramatic exit in the middle of the former Florida governor's speech. Led by a hirsute gentleman sporting a tricorn hat and a Gadsden flag, they marched out and then congregated in the hallway to tell reporters how unacceptable it was that Bush supports comprehensive immigration reform and isn't Rand Paul...." see full article


1044 days ago | reason
5 Things to Know About Jeb Bush's Campaign for President - Reason (blog)
"...Bush shot to the front of most polling the moment he made it known he was thinking about running for president last year. Much of the pre-coverage of his campaign launch has mentioned that his position has since slipped and that's true, but it tells us very little about how likely he is to capture the Republican nomination in the end. Primary surveys especially this far out from the first contests are reliably unreliable.To understand what I mean, one need only look back four years. Four different candidates took turns beating the eventual nominee, Mitt Romney, in the polls in 2011. As I wrote in the July issue of Reason, anyone trying to judge the relative chances of the various candidates based on national primary polls conducted before voting began would have been hopelessly lost. The truth is that the landscape is far more likely to change dramatically between now and spring 2016 than it is to look then exactly like it does right now. Speeches will be made. Ads will be broadcast. Records will be dissected. Scandals will be unearthed. And the conventional wisdom will evolve accordingly. The fact that someone is (or isn't) getting the most hypothetical votes today means very little...." see full article


1044 days ago | nytimes
Jeb Bush Is Still the Favorite, the Markets Say - New York Times

"...Jeb Bush has had a rough few months. He fumbled a question about the war in Iraq. He has not consolidated the support of Republican elites, as Nate Cohn notes. And he has not scared off other candidates who could hurt him in the primaries, like John Kasich. There is no clever case to be made that Mr. Bush's campaign has actually performed well this spring.But if we've learned one thing about presidential campaigns, it's that most people who follow them overreact to short-term news. Ronald Reagan's 1980 campaign had its share of gaffes. Bill Clinton's 1992 campaign lurched from one crisis to the next. George W. Bush endured a drunk-driving revelation in the final days of his 2000 campaign. Barack Obama seemed to dismiss guns and religion as opiates of the masses. All survived to win not only those campaigns but also re-election four years later...." see full article


1044 days ago | fivethirtyeight
Pols and Polls Say The Same Thing: Jeb Bush Is A Weak Front-Runner - FiveThirtyEight
"...Without any additional information, a candidate with Bush's percentage of endorsements would have a 23 percent chance of winning the nomination based upon past years.5 Not counting Super PACs, a candidate with 30 percent of the money raised, which would be impressive in a large field, and Bush's percentage of endorsements would have a 30 percent chance of winning.That seems pretty reasonable.For now, the safest thing to say about Bush based upon the endorsement primary is the same thing the polls are telling us: Bush has a better shot than most of the other candidates, yet the other candidates combined have a better shot than he does. It's easy to envision him winning, but it's easier to see him losing...." see full article


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1045 days ago | miamiherald
Jeb Bush prepares to launch candidacy, regain lost momentum
"...A broader party matters for the general election. Yet Bush first needs to combat the perception among Republican primary voters that he's not conservative enough. He trumpets a conservative record as governor, but Bush's eight years in Tallahassee came before the Tea Party, and he has not endeared himself to that faction by maintaining positions in favor of immigration reform and of Common Core educational standards.In a tacit acknowledgment that his pre-campaign didn't go as well as planned, Bush named a campaign manager last week that was not the one first eyed for the job. Danny Diaz, a hard-charging Washington political consultant who had been advising Bush on media strategy, will run the show instead of David Kochel, an Iowa strategist who now will lead Bush's strategy in early primary states. Bush's senior advisor will remain longtime confidante Sally Bradshaw in Tallahassee; another advisor, Mike Murphy, based in Los Angeles, took over Bush's Right to Rise political action committee and will handle it separate from the campaign.Read more here: http://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/elections-2016/jeb-bush/article24259312.html#storylink=cpy..." see full article


1045 days ago | politico
Jeb Bush's 18-month shadow campaign

"...But the only green that matters in these early stages of a campaign is cash. Lots of it. By early spring, Bush's super PAC had raised close to $90 million, putting it on pace to smash existing records. More recently, the campaign has focused on smaller donors capable of writing checks up to $2,700 for the official campaign committee. After he announces today, Bush will barnstorm the early states to pick up more checks and try to dominate the political news cycle.With so much money on hand, Bush's campaign has been built around the notion that more money means fewer problems in a campaign season with a crowded field with big names who can stay in the race for longer thanks to super PACs. The Republican nominating contest could last for as long as a year if enough candidates stay in, said Reed, of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. If that happens, Bush could be the horse to bet on, said Reed, referring to this year's Triple Crown winner...." see full article


1045 days ago | seattletimes
After a rocky start, Jeb Bush reshuffles his campaign team
"...While Bush knows he has to change course in some ways, he also does not want to overreact and risk losing the image of a calm, seasoned leader that he has sought to project, according to several advisers and associates, who spoke on condition of anonymity. They say Bush, having watched negative stories pile up while he focused on fundraising in recent months, wants to move quickly to campaign with voters, especially in New Hampshire.He is also determined not to change his positions on immigration and education, positions many Republicans loathe; his best alternative, he believes, is to use his record in Florida to appeal to a party that has become more conservative...." see full article


1045 days ago | seattletimes
After a rocky start, Jeb Bush reshuffles his campaign team
"...But few among them entered the race with such a high expectations of success as did Bush. Those expectations have seemed a burden at times.Take, for example, the question of whether Bush will report raising $100 million for his campaign in the first six months of the year. Lost amid the will he or won't he is that Bush probably will have taken in far more than anyone else.Romney said Saturday it would not surprise him to learn that Bush had scooped up twice that of all the other GOP candidates combined. By all appearances, he's raised a lot of money, Romney said, praising Bush's experienced and capable team. At this stage, that's a very important thing to do. Even if he does not reach the $100 million mark, Bush will have amassed more in six months than Romney and his allies at a super political action committee raised for the entire year before the 2012 election.By contrast, a senior adviser to Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, considered along with Bush among the few top-tier 2016 contenders, expects he will raise roughly $25 million through the end of June. The adviser spoke on the condition of anonymity to share internal fundraising details...." see full article


1045 days ago | realclearpolitics
The Jeb Bush Conundrum

"...But there are some real problems for Jeb. First, there are too many cooks in the kitchen, who profit even if he loses. Second, his last name is an anchor. Third, his post-gubernatorial rhetoric seemingly deviates from his gubernatorial record, which is objectively solid and probably more conservative than George W. Bush's record in Texas. Fourth, he has so many staffers and consultants to pay. Fifth, his Common Core position is going to hurt him more than his immigration position because the majority of Republican primary voters will be moms who are pissed off. Sixth, as the Washington Post mentions, he is having a hard time separating himself from the policies of his brother.Jeb Bush is going to have to run as Jeb Bush, not as George Bush's heir. That, in and of itself, presents a problem. Historically, New Hampshire is a disaster for anyone named Bush. If he can't win Iowa and he can't win New Hampshire, there is no way he is going to win South Carolina. Ask Rudy Giuliani how a Florida firewall works. And Giuliani didn't have to fight for Florida against Marco Rubio...." see full article


1045 days ago | nationaljournal
Can Jeb Bush Remind Voters Why They Liked Him?
"...It's against this backdrop that Bush launches his campaign Monday staff dysfunction, policy stumbles, family liabilities, and an overarching sense that Bush isn't the elite candidate he was thought to be.The silver lining? Bush hasn't actually been a candidate and Monday's launch will allow him to begin his candidacy on his own terms, in his own backyard, by getting back to the basics of what his campaign was always supposed to be about: the power of his positive ideas, and his record of implementing them in Florida.It's no accident that Bush will announce at Miami-Dade College, one of the nation's largest colleges, at a campus in a non-Republican part of South Florida, attended by a majority of minority students. It's in this setting that Bush can refocus his image and redefine what his candidacy stands for appealing to the middle of the electorate, preaching the power of education, and yes, as the name of his political committee suggests, giving low-income kids the "right to rise" in society...." see full article


1045 days ago | csmonitor
Jeb Bush: Will his official White House bid boost a lackluster campaign? - Christian Science Monitor
"...Aside from that, most political analysis puts his position as not nearly as strong as it might be given his experience, mainstream GOP support, and name recognition. Other than raising the money, little has gone as he had hoped, Jonathan Martin and Patrick Healy wrote in The New York Times over the weekend. He has been torn between defending and distancing himself from George W. Bush, been unable to assuage party activists uneasy with his immigration and education views, and run into a wall of opposition on the right, ..." see full article


1046 days ago | bostonglobe
A shaky start compels Jeb Bush to refine his tone
"...Other than raising the money, little has gone as he had hoped. He has been torn between defending and distancing himself from George W. Bush, been unable to assuage party activists uneasy with his immigration and education views, and run into a wall of opposition on the right.And now, as he prepares to make his candidacy official Monday, Bush finds himself in a position he could not have imagined: part of a pack of candidates, and the target of questions about his own competence and conservatism.Frustrated, according to his associates, by elements of his political operation and performance so far, he appointed a new campaign manager last week who is preparing an aggressive approach to the race. Yet Bush still faces fundamental challenges in appealing to a Republican primary electorate that is much different from the one his father or even his brother faced a party no longer willing to automatically anoint the pragmatic, well-financed, establishment-aligned candidate that the Bush name personifies...." see full article


1046 days ago | nytimes
eb Bush Works to Recover From a Shaky Start

"...The reshuffled campaign team is aiming to hone Mr. Bush's abilities as a candidate while sharpening its tactics against Republican opponents. Mr. Bush's new campaign manager, Danny Diaz, is widely known in Republican circles as a hard-edge operative who is driven by trying to dominate daily news coverage with his candidate's message or his rivals' weaknesses. (The previous manager, David Kochel, is known as more cerebral.)Mr. Diaz, who seared John Kerry in 2004 and Mitt Romney in 2007 with charges of flip-flopping on issues, and other Bush aides are determined to develop new lines of attack against Senator Marco Rubio of Florida and Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin, the two Republicans who represent the greatest threats to Mr. Bush's nomination, according to his advisers and allies...." see full article


1046 days ago | csmonitor
Jeb Bush: Will his official White House bid boost a lackluster campaign?
"...Aside from that, most political analysis puts his position as not nearly as strong as it might be given his experience, mainstream GOP support, and name recognition. Other than raising the money, little has gone as he had hoped, Jonathan Martin and Patrick Healy wrote in The New York Times over the weekend. He has been torn between defending and distancing himself from George W. Bush, been unable to assuage party activists uneasy with his immigration and education views, and run into a wall of opposition on the right, ..." see full article


1046 days ago | miamiherald
Jeb Bush prepares to launch candidacy, regain lost momentum - Miami Herald
"...But will his campaign be worthy of an exclamation point?Bush will try to energize his supporters Monday when he formally launches his 2016 campaign in Miami, after spending six months exploring a candidacy but failing to position himself comfortably ahead of a crowded and ambitious Republican field that so far boasts 10 candidates, without counting Bush. I thought Jeb would take up all the oxygen, Ohio Gov. John Kasich, a potential candidate, said in New Hampshire earlier this month. He hasn't. To be sure, Bush has scored big political donors. But he hasn't scared off other challengers. He's stumbled trying to distance himself from his brother's unpopular Iraq war. And he's struggled to reintroduce himself to GOP voters in a party much changed since his last time on the ballot 12 years ago. It will take time. It always does, Bush told CNN's State of the Union in an interview aired Sunday.Read more here: http://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/elections-2016/jeb-bush/article24259312.html#storylink=cpy..." see full article


1046 days ago | time
Jeb Bush Poised to Formally Join 2016 Campaign - TIME
"...His political machine was expected to have $100 million on the first day as a declared candidate. Eventually, no one would ask about his family, which has spawned two Presidents, or his support for Common Core education standards or liberal views on illegal immigrants.None of that has happened.Bush replaced his campaign manager last week as internal fights spilled into public view. His broader campaign finance orbit is expected to come up short of the nine-figure war chest it wanted to have at the ready. And he continues to be so dogged about the Bush legacy and tremendous distrust among conservative activists that a third member of the dynasty should live in the White House, he ditched the Bush name altogether in his campaign logo and is going for just Jeb! ..." see full article



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